The election in Kashmir is not a contest between a local party and a national party. It is a contest between the two competing national parties, INC and BJP. Exit pollsters for the second time in a year were humiliated. The first time during the general, where they predicted a BJP majority which failed to materialize. In Kashmir they confidently predicted an INC victory. The BJP is the dominant national party in Kashmir and will be very happy with the result because it shifts the narrative from them being on the decline and INC iascendent.
I am indifferent between the two national parties and also quite ignorant of domestic politics. BJP got 46 or so seats in a Kashmir where they ended asymmetric federalism and its rival in low single digits. It would be hard for the INC to spin that as some kind of BJP defeat.
BJP seat numbers increased in the last two state elections which does suggest that abrogation of article 370 for a large number of voters must have been seen to be a positive.
Haryana also called incorrectly. Domestic politics is baffling. Each state has various groups that vote as blocks and the national parties woo them. It will probably be a few cycles, if ever, BJP forms a ruling coalition in Kashmir. The state parties are hostile to them for obvious reasons.
Ultimately J&K was able to pass laws that supersede laws passed by parliament. It can no longer do that. How one views that, depends on world view.
Honestly at this point it's a fun game to try to guess what Pakistan will charge Imran Khan with next. Absolutely absurd government.
The election in Kashmir is not a contest between a local party and a national party. It is a contest between the two competing national parties, INC and BJP. Exit pollsters for the second time in a year were humiliated. The first time during the general, where they predicted a BJP majority which failed to materialize. In Kashmir they confidently predicted an INC victory. The BJP is the dominant national party in Kashmir and will be very happy with the result because it shifts the narrative from them being on the decline and INC iascendent.
I haven’t seen an exit poll that gave INC a sole victory in Kashmir. The pollsters I’ve seen predicted a JKNC-INC win which is what happened.
I am indifferent between the two national parties and also quite ignorant of domestic politics. BJP got 46 or so seats in a Kashmir where they ended asymmetric federalism and its rival in low single digits. It would be hard for the INC to spin that as some kind of BJP defeat.
BJP seat numbers increased in the last two state elections which does suggest that abrogation of article 370 for a large number of voters must have been seen to be a positive.
Haryana also called incorrectly. Domestic politics is baffling. Each state has various groups that vote as blocks and the national parties woo them. It will probably be a few cycles, if ever, BJP forms a ruling coalition in Kashmir. The state parties are hostile to them for obvious reasons.
Ultimately J&K was able to pass laws that supersede laws passed by parliament. It can no longer do that. How one views that, depends on world view.
https://x.com/rudhranandu/status/1842571271818883376
Sorry I am confusing percentages with seats in J&K
And states it would appear! my apologies.