The election in Kashmir is not a contest between a local party and a national party. It is a contest between the two competing national parties, INC and BJP. Exit pollsters for the second time in a year were humiliated. The first time during the general, where they predicted a BJP majority which failed to materialize. In Kashmir they confidently predicted an INC victory. The BJP is the dominant national party in Kashmir and will be very happy with the result because it shifts the narrative from them being on the decline and INC iascendent.
I am indifferent between the two national parties and also quite ignorant of domestic politics. BJP got 46 or so seats in a Kashmir where they ended asymmetric federalism and its rival in low single digits. It would be hard for the INC to spin that as some kind of BJP defeat.
BJP seat numbers increased in the last two state elections which does suggest that abrogation of article 370 for a large number of voters must have been seen to be a positive.
Haryana also called incorrectly. Domestic politics is baffling. Each state has various groups that vote as blocks and the national parties woo them. It will probably be a few cycles, if ever, BJP forms a ruling coalition in Kashmir. The state parties are hostile to them for obvious reasons.
Ultimately J&K was able to pass laws that supersede laws passed by parliament. It can no longer do that. How one views that, depends on world view.
"Election results Tuesday defied exit poll predictions that had given Haryana to Congress and predicted a hung assembly in Jammu and Kashmir.
Haryana sprung a big surprise Tuesday with the BJP beating anti-incumbency and returning to power for a third consecutive term, shattering exit poll predictions of its rout in the state. The party won its third straight term, an unprecedented feat in the state’s history. Its success put brakes on Congress’s hope of ending a decade’s power drought, pushing the grand old party back to drawing rooms.
What does this victory mean for the BJP that attributes its success to pro-incumbency votes and what is in store for Congress now, given that assembly polls in two more crucial states – Jharkhand and Maharashtra – are scheduled later this year? Read Sourav Roy Barman’s report on this.
In this related report, Sourav Roy Barman analyses the reasons for Congress’s defeat in Haryana. Despite increasing its vote share by 10 percent, the party had to settle with 37, way below the halfway mark.
In Jammu and Kashmir, where the National Conference-Congress alliance bagged power by crossing the majority mark, will form a government after a gap of 10 years. The polls carry a lot of weight, for people of J&K did not vote for a state but a union territory. Apart from the withdrawal of Article 370 and the dissolution of statehood, local issues such as jobs, electricity and roads took centre stage in the assembly elections, writes Neelam Pandey.
J&K’s election results are significant in more than one way. As the people there chose to vote for mainstream parties, they rejected separatists and former militants who contested the elections as independents. Twenty-eight such candidates, including 10 backed by the Jamaat-e-Islami and others by the Awami Ittehad Party (AIP), bit the dust"
Honestly at this point it's a fun game to try to guess what Pakistan will charge Imran Khan with next. Absolutely absurd government.
The election in Kashmir is not a contest between a local party and a national party. It is a contest between the two competing national parties, INC and BJP. Exit pollsters for the second time in a year were humiliated. The first time during the general, where they predicted a BJP majority which failed to materialize. In Kashmir they confidently predicted an INC victory. The BJP is the dominant national party in Kashmir and will be very happy with the result because it shifts the narrative from them being on the decline and INC iascendent.
I haven’t seen an exit poll that gave INC a sole victory in Kashmir. The pollsters I’ve seen predicted a JKNC-INC win which is what happened.
I am indifferent between the two national parties and also quite ignorant of domestic politics. BJP got 46 or so seats in a Kashmir where they ended asymmetric federalism and its rival in low single digits. It would be hard for the INC to spin that as some kind of BJP defeat.
BJP seat numbers increased in the last two state elections which does suggest that abrogation of article 370 for a large number of voters must have been seen to be a positive.
Haryana also called incorrectly. Domestic politics is baffling. Each state has various groups that vote as blocks and the national parties woo them. It will probably be a few cycles, if ever, BJP forms a ruling coalition in Kashmir. The state parties are hostile to them for obvious reasons.
Ultimately J&K was able to pass laws that supersede laws passed by parliament. It can no longer do that. How one views that, depends on world view.
https://x.com/rudhranandu/status/1842571271818883376
Sorry I am confusing percentages with seats in J&K
And states it would appear! my apologies.
"Election results Tuesday defied exit poll predictions that had given Haryana to Congress and predicted a hung assembly in Jammu and Kashmir.
Haryana sprung a big surprise Tuesday with the BJP beating anti-incumbency and returning to power for a third consecutive term, shattering exit poll predictions of its rout in the state. The party won its third straight term, an unprecedented feat in the state’s history. Its success put brakes on Congress’s hope of ending a decade’s power drought, pushing the grand old party back to drawing rooms.
What does this victory mean for the BJP that attributes its success to pro-incumbency votes and what is in store for Congress now, given that assembly polls in two more crucial states – Jharkhand and Maharashtra – are scheduled later this year? Read Sourav Roy Barman’s report on this.
In this related report, Sourav Roy Barman analyses the reasons for Congress’s defeat in Haryana. Despite increasing its vote share by 10 percent, the party had to settle with 37, way below the halfway mark.
In Jammu and Kashmir, where the National Conference-Congress alliance bagged power by crossing the majority mark, will form a government after a gap of 10 years. The polls carry a lot of weight, for people of J&K did not vote for a state but a union territory. Apart from the withdrawal of Article 370 and the dissolution of statehood, local issues such as jobs, electricity and roads took centre stage in the assembly elections, writes Neelam Pandey.
J&K’s election results are significant in more than one way. As the people there chose to vote for mainstream parties, they rejected separatists and former militants who contested the elections as independents. Twenty-eight such candidates, including 10 backed by the Jamaat-e-Islami and others by the Awami Ittehad Party (AIP), bit the dust"
Source: The Print