Hi Derek, wouldn’t Iran firing missiles from Iraqi territory simply provide the US pretext to attack Iranian-linked forces there? Could that be motivating Israeli intelligence predictions?
It would and it could. But it would also obviously create another pretext for attacking Iran directly because it sounds like this attack would be of a scale that couldn't be pulled off by the militias on their own. I'm struggling to understand why these Israeli sources think that the Iranians, who are not dumb, believe that attacking from Iraqi soil would spare Iran from the retaliation. Maybe they're just trying to manipulate the US into attacking the militias but I can't see the US taking a proactive step like that before the election.
I know I’m being super juvenile but I couldn’t help but chuckle at the “MILF leaders” in the Philippines section.
Hi Derek, wouldn’t Iran firing missiles from Iraqi territory simply provide the US pretext to attack Iranian-linked forces there? Could that be motivating Israeli intelligence predictions?
It would and it could. But it would also obviously create another pretext for attacking Iran directly because it sounds like this attack would be of a scale that couldn't be pulled off by the militias on their own. I'm struggling to understand why these Israeli sources think that the Iranians, who are not dumb, believe that attacking from Iraqi soil would spare Iran from the retaliation. Maybe they're just trying to manipulate the US into attacking the militias but I can't see the US taking a proactive step like that before the election.